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Monday 9 February 2015

February 8th 2015 Block Maker Statistics


Changelog:
  • Nil. 
Errorlog:
  • Nil.
Notifications:
  • Nil.

0. Unknowns down to 8%.
Nice, but probably won't last long. OTOH I have identified some clusters that have just started cryptically signing their coinbase transactions, so we might see even fewer unknowns next week.

1. Network hashrate increases again.
~6% since last week and ~3% since last month - both indicate an increase with 97.5% confidence.






Solved block statistics table. This table lists all statistics that can be derived from the number of blocks a hashrate contributor has solved for the past week. Block attributions are either from primary sources such as those claimed by a particular pool website, or secondary sources such as coinbase signatures, or known generation addresses. When dependent on secondary sources only, data may be inaccurate and miss some blocks if a particular block-solver has gone to some trouble to hide solved blocks. This will result in an underestimate of the block-solver hashrate.

Note that actual pool hashrates when derived from shares submitted per unit time will be more accurate than the hashrate estimates given in this table.

"Unknown" is not an entity but the group of blocks to which I cannot give attribution using the methods given above. "BitAffNet" is Bitcoin Affiliate Network.

Although I update regularly, I don't correct old posts.


Reused but unknown generation addresses
Unknown generation addresses that are not reused are probably solominers or private mining concerns that don't have share-holders wanting to follow transactions. However, reused addresses are probably from hash contributors that do not wish to remain anonymous. These need to be identified so they can be removed from the "Unknown" group. I'm not interested in identifying those who wish to remain completely anonymous, so I'm not trying to trace originating IP addresses (as Blockchain.info does).


Blocks solved by unknown but re-used generation addresses Feb 01 2015 to Feb 07 2015
Unknown recurring generation address Blocks solved this week Percentage of network Percentage of unknown Estimate of hashrate Blocks solved ever
1GaKSh2t396nfSg5Ku2J3Yn1vfVsXrGuH5 12 1.10 % 13.79 % 3517 Thps 94
1GcF7j3YH8Qs8hvNEe7zbrQZftMU6sRLfu 10 0.91 % 11.49 % 2931 Thps 505
1MoYfV4U61wqTPTHCyedzFmvf2o3uys2Ua 10 0.91 % 11.49 % 2931 Thps 69
1LBU6pZD5SoZwbvC3xDLMsTVc7ov2wc7qv 8 0.73 % 9.20 % 2345 Thps 8
1BwZeHJo7b7M2op7VDfYnsmcpXsUYEcVHm 6 0.55 % 6.90 % 1759 Thps 152
1HagqfWvXNg6J9WhewoP3y85HczPew7iCt 5 0.46 % 5.75 % 1465 Thps 5
1P4B6rx1js8TaEDXvZvtrkiEb9XrJgMQ19 5 0.46 % 5.75 % 1465 Thps 8
17L54QRj652Qm6N7CXrHbDPcYxbhi7KNSL 4 0.37 % 4.60 % 1172 Thps 4
1BGjxxtwSnYidw6Vcype58UmWzw1jK6pXK 4 0.37 % 4.60 % 1172 Thps 10
1AQf2AGsAzJhrVQcz1LwWmHscrabU4nDE6 3 0.27 % 3.45 % 879 Thps 3
1FnbVmZ8xopokd4o2Fstg45d6V98GQjD3V 3 0.27 % 3.45 % 879 Thps 3
1MwjiXr4RsPQY9ditVnX6Dra1cPQdihHtq 3 0.27 % 3.45 % 879 Thps 3
19KLLQQsbmmP1JWCvWAuU2LJFipKUigEyd 2 0.18 % 2.30 % 586 Thps 2
1FyP2TMjPARzk8ifBRpMC1myta2RJ4rtoc 2 0.18 % 2.30 % 586 Thps 2
3CkSJVKeXBAVXUYe4DZKgDpvLavJW3Jz3E 2 0.18 % 2.30 % 586 Thps 2



Hashrate distribution: Stacked histogram percentage of network blocks
A visual representation of the "Percentage of network" data aggregated in the table.







Hashrate distribution: Actual and cumulative percentage of network blocks
Another visualisation of the data in the table. The unshaded section indicates block makers with the largest hashrates that control 50% of the network between them.




Hashrate distribution: Heatmap of historical percentage of network blocks attributable to block makers.
The data in the above hashrate distribution histogram is a subset of the weekly data data below.


Hashrate distribution:  Daily proportion of network for current block makers.
The next three plots group hashrate distribution into three tiers:  The block makers with the largest proportion of the network, block makers with an average proportion of the network, and block makers with the smallest proportion of the network.

Because the data is a daily summary, the kernel smoothing shows quite clearly the variance in hashrate distribution that occurs in block making. It will also show the intra-week hashrate movements which were previously unavailable.





Comparison of transaction fee per block
Block makers that consistently perform better than average are attempting to earn as much from each block as possible, which probably means more transactions per block and a better functioning network.

Block makers that consistently earn less than average transactions per block are either including too many low priority (no fee) transactions or are trying to reduce their orphan rate by reducing the size of their blocks.







Historical centralisation of bitcoin network block creation
This chart shows the changes in the amount of the network controlled by the largest block maker, second largest, and so on up to the twentieth largest (should that number of block makers exist during the week the estimate was made).






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Created using R and various packages, especially dplyrdata.tableggplot2 and forecast.

Recommended reading:

Thank you to blockchain.info and coinometrics.com for use of their transaction and address data, and coincadence.com for their p2pool miner data.

Find a typo or spelling error? Email me with the details at organofcorti@organofcorti.org and if you're the first to email me I'll pay you 0.01 btc per ten errors.

Please refer to the most recent blog post for current rates or rule changes.

I'm terrible at proofreading, so some of these posts may be worth quite a bit to the keen reader.
Exceptions:
  • Errors in text repeated across multiple posts: I will only pay for the most recent errors rather every single occurrence.
  • Errors in chart texts: Since I can't fix the chart texts (since I don't keep the data that generated them) I can't pay for them. Still, they would be nice to know about!
I write in British English.


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